Subj: Filament eruptions and mag storm watches
Date: 5/9/00 7:21:55 AM Pacific Daylight Time
From: hblondel@tampabay.rr.com (New Millennium)
To: hblondel@tampabay.rr.com (Newmill)

According to the SEC, there were several "significant" filament
eruptions observed from the south central region of the solar disk
yesterday. The filaments were categorized by the SEC as "large, dense,
and bright" meaning a large amount of solar material was contained in
these features.

Due to the impressive appearance of the filaments, the energetic nature
of their eruptions [rapidly moving away from the Sun toward Earth], and
the geoeffective position of the area generating the features ... The
SEC is anticipating magnetic storming to begin late on the 11th and
continue on the 12-13th.

This morning, the SEC has issued a magnetic storm watch for Mag-A
indices of greater than 30 for 5.12.00 -- This is the first magnetic
storm watch I have personally seen issued in response to filament
eruptions, as opposed to flares and CMEs. This is also the first
magnetic storm watch issued by the SEC for indices of "greater than 30"
[strong storming] in quite some time. Recent watches have been for
"greater than 20."

Not knowing nearly as much [from observation] about the nature of
magnetic storms caused by filament eruptions, I do not know exactly how
the profile of the event will arrive compared to flares and CMEs, or how
much [or less] more potent it could be. In general terms I would think
because of the heavy density of the material, the events could be quite
vigorous should a direct impact occur.

The sheer density of the filament material, should it intersect Earth,
~could~ cause extraordinary auroral displays and potentially severe
magnetic storms.

For those with prophetic interests... it may be significant that the
forecast arrival of these filaments could coincide with May 13 - a very
significant date relating to the Fatima prophecies and JPII's announced
trip to the Fatima shrine on that day. This date is also very close to
Nosty's "twentieth of Taurus" quake quatrain.

Two partial halo CMEs were also observed during the day on 5.8.00